Imperfect information and learning: Evidence from cotton cultivation in Pakistan

نویسندگان

چکیده

Information problems are pervasive in developing economies and can hinder productivity growth. This paper studies how much rural producers countries learn from their own cultivation experience, i.e. learning by doing, to redress important information gaps about imperfectly known input technologies. First, I build a theoretical model which links doing one period improved choices the next period, show that this be impeded uncertainty what is being observed due noisy signals infer market varieties imperfect variety integrity. Second, apply framework cotton farmers Pakistan, where have prior extent seeds pest resistant biotechnology. The results suggest unable aspect of high degree noise signals. highlights potential difficulties parsing out processing experience alone therefore development context.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Imperfect Information and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Microdata

We investigate the updating behavior of individual consumers regarding their shortand long-run inflation expectations. Utilizing the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer’s rotating panel microstructure, we can identify whether individuals adjust their inflation expectations over a period of six months. We find evidence that the updating frequency has been underestimated. Furthermore, looki...

متن کامل

Deep Reinforcement Learning from Self-Play in Imperfect-Information Games

Many real-world applications can be described as large-scale games of imperfect information. To deal with these challenging domains, prior work has focused on computing Nash equilibria in a handcrafted abstraction of the domain. In this paper we introduce the first scalable endto-end approach to learning approximate Nash equilibria without any prior knowledge. Our method combines fictitious sel...

متن کامل

Observational learning under imperfect information

The analysis explores Bayes-rational sequential decision making in a game with pure information externalities, where each decision maker observes only her predecessor’s binary action. Under perfect information the martingale property of the stochastic learning process is used to establish convergence of beliefs and actions. Under imperfect information, in contrast, beliefs and actions cycle for...

متن کامل

An Analysis of Bt Cotton Cultivation in Punjab , Pakistan Using the Agriculture Decision Support System ( ADSS )

Introduction Pakistan is the 4th top producer of cotton in the world (Table 1), yet in terms of yield it is at the distant 10th position. There are many possible reasons for low cotton yields in Pakistan—high prices of agricultural inputs (pesticides, fertilizers, etc.), higher intensity of insect and pest attacks, deficiency of water for irrigation, lack of advanced technologies and awareness,...

متن کامل

Learning in concave games with imperfect information

This paper examines the convergence properties of a class of learning schemes for concave N -person games – that is, games with convex action spaces and individually concave payoff functions. Specifically, we focus on a family of learning methods where players adjust their actions by taking small steps along their individual payoff gradients and then “mirror” the output back to their feasible a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0167-2681', '1879-1751']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.07.004